The Engine
What the engine delivers.
The Apex convergence engine produces one thing: a short weekly board of predictions, each stated plainly and each judged in public. Here is what a subscriber gets, and how the record keeps us honest.
What you get
Ten predictions, every Monday.
Each row on the board is a plain statement about something that will be checkable: a category, the time it resolves, and the confidence we publish it with. No “could,” no “might” — a statement that is either right or wrong by its deadline.
The same predictions are available by API for desks and research groups that want them in their own models and workflows, built on live entity intelligence from our sister company, Verumdare.
The week's cycle
The cycle is the same for a stock close, a storm, an election, a launch. Only the subject changes.
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Publish
Monday, 9:00 AM CT
The week's ten predictions go on the board, each with its category, its confidence and the time it resolves. Subscribers get them by email the moment they post.
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Follow
Through the week
Watch the board as rows resolve. Pending rows are marked pending, and nothing leaves the board.
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Judge
Friday, 4:00 PM CT
Outcomes are read from the source each row names, and every row is graded — hit, miss or push — on the permanent record.
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Keep
The record stays
Hits in gold, misses in red, pushes counted apart. Every week stays on the record, unedited, next to the confidence it was published with.
The standard
The record is the pitch.
The misses stay.
Anyone can publish ten predictions a week. What matters is whether you can check them. Every row is graded in public, in the same type, on the same clock, and the misses sit on the same page as the hits.
We would rather be checked than believed. The record is the only marketing this product gets.
That is why the record is worth reading: a hit rate only means something when the misses are on the same page.
People who follow the board
Take the weekly email: ten predictions on Monday, the judgment on Friday, and a record that builds in the open.
Desks and funds
The prediction feed, by API, for teams that want the engine's convictions inside their own models and workflows.
Research groups and broadcasters
A graded, public track record to cite, compare against and question.
Watch it run
The board is the engine's public face. Take the Monday email and watch the record build.
Get the board
One email when the week publishes, one when it is judged.