Apex Predictive
A wall-sized grid of small matte black tiles, one tile gilded in gold leaf catching a warm directional light.

The Board

Published Monday. Judged Friday.

Ten predictions a week from the Apex convergence engine — published Monday morning, graded Friday afternoon, kept forever.

A dark desk at night with brass drafting instruments resting on slate-gray paper beside a small unmarked gold medallion.

The rules

A board you can hold us to.

Every row on the board is written to be judged. A statement names its outcome, the source that settles it and its deadline, and once it posts it stays on the board as published. Friday at 4:00 PM Central, each row is read against its named source and graded.

Hit
The stated outcome occurred by the deadline, per the named source of truth. Gold, earned.
Miss
It did not. The row stays on the record in red, forever, next to the confidence we published it with.
Push
The question voided — an event canceled, a source silent, a market closed. Pushes are rare and are counted separately, never folded into the hit rate.

The season record — hits, misses, pushes, and each week's board — will live at this address, unedited, from the first live week onward.

Judged week Sample · how Friday reads

What a graded board looks like.

Illustrative rows, shown so you can see the honest part: the miss stays. A forecaster who shows you only gold is showing you a brochure.

Friday Judgment — Sample Illustrative · format preview, not a live record
  1. 01

    The S&P 500 closes Friday above its Monday open.

    Markets · judged against the official close

    91%
    Hit
  2. 02

    Measurable rain falls at DFW Airport before Friday noon.

    Weather · judged against the station record

    96%
    Hit
  3. 03

    The announced flagship device reaches general availability without a slip.

    Technology · judged against the vendor's own notice

    85%
    Miss
  4. 04

    The scheduled coastal launch window closes with a successful ascent.

    Spaceflight · window scrubbed for weather; question voided

    96%
    Push
Sample excerpt. On the live board, every judged row links its source of truth and the reading that graded it.

What the board covers

Anything with a verifiable outcome.

Markets and rates. Weather. Elections and polling. Launches and scheduled events. Box office and culture. Court calendars, regulatory decisions, economic prints. The board mixes categories on purpose: an engine that can only call one kind of future is a niche tool, and this one is built to be general.

What the board will not carry: questions that cannot name a source of truth, questions that resolve on somebody's opinion, and questions about private individuals. If it cannot be judged cleanly, it does not publish.

Where this goes

The board is the proof.
The engine is the product.

The public board demonstrates the engine the only way that counts — in the open, against the clock. Behind it, the same predictions are a feed: delivered by API for desks that want the engine's convictions in their own models and workflows.

And where a verdict maps to a listed contract on a regulated prediction market, putting the engine's own conviction to work — automatically, with real skin in the game — is the roadmap we make no secret of. The board's record is what will make that credible.

Talk to us about the feed

The Monday email

The board, in your inbox, the moment it publishes — and the judgment when it lands.

Get the board

One email Monday, one email Friday. That is the entire cadence.